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405,232

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2,693

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5

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Colombia vs. Ghana
polymarket
predict

What is the result of Colombia vs Ghana?

Volume:
$15,009,471

Colombia

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 4, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 9:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Colombia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,196,910
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

COL

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$954,937
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ghana

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,030,261
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

GHA

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$826,093
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Colombia vs. Ghana)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,749,474
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$251,796
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Colombia versus Ghana match in the FIFA World Cup 2026 tournament. Aggregating data from Polymarket and Predict, the consensus probability shows Colombia winning at 87.5%, based on official FIFA World Cup records as the resolution source. The match is scheduled for July 3, 2026, with market settlement occurring the following day on July 4, 2026, once the final result is officially confirmed by FIFA.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The draw market cancellation clause creates a logical contradiction with the team-win markets. If the match is canceled with no makeup, the draw market resolves YES while both Colombia and Ghana win markets resolve NO, violating the constraint that exactly one of three mutually exclusive outcomes must occur.Hero tip: Do not trade the draw market without clarification from platform operators on cancellation protocol. Request explicit confirmation: if a match is canceled, does the draw market resolve YES (as stated) or should all three markets resolve NO? This ambiguity could cause settlement disputes. Consider hedging or avoiding this market until the cancellation rule is harmonized across platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Draw market: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.' Colombia and Ghana win markets: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No.'
  • Predict: Draw market: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.' Colombia and Ghana win markets: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Friday, July 3, 2026 between Colombia and Ghana.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Friday, July 3, 2026 between Colombia and Ghana.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in margin; prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous order books, often reflecting sharper consensus when liquidity is deep. On this market, prediction odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on which venue attracts more informed flow. Comparing the two can reveal value: if prediction traders are pricing a higher Colombia win probability than a sportsbook, that gap may signal where smart money is positioned.

Polymarket and Predict can show different odds on the same outcome due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and fee structures. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, if one platform attracts more casual traders while the other draws professionals, pricing may reflect different risk appetites. Arbitrage opportunities sometimes emerge when spreads widen; traders can exploit these gaps, though transaction costs and withdrawal delays often limit profitable execution. Monitoring both venues helps you spot when consensus is shifting or when one platform is lagging price discovery.

Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—often triggers sharp repricing. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions at kickoff can all shift trader sentiment. Major betting syndicates or professional traders entering the market may also move odds significantly. Social media momentum, injury updates from official team sources, and late-breaking roster announcements typically drive the largest swings. Monitoring these catalysts helps you anticipate where this market may be headed before the match begins.