Colombia and France will compete in an International Friendly soccer match on March 29, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This is a single match event with three mutually exclusive outcomes: Colombia win, France win, or draw.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 29, 2026, using the same primary source (official governing body statistics or credible reporting consensus).
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from FIFA or the governing body; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus.
Core resolution logic:
The match outcome is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Colombia wins, France wins, or the match ends in a draw.
Exactly one of the three outcomes will occur and resolve the corresponding market(s) to YES; all others resolve to NO.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES and win markets resolve NO; Kalshi's outcome markets resolve based on the final result if rescheduled, or per cancellation rules if not.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match scheduled for March 29, 2026 is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its new date.
Match Cancellation Without Rescheduling: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES (per explicit cancellation clause) and Colombia/France win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's markets would follow the same logic: draw resolves YES, win markets resolve NO.
Resolution Source Hierarchy: Primary source is official FIFA or governing body statistics published within 2 hours of match conclusion. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 29, 2026, or upon the rescheduled match date if postponed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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