TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 10:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the first half of the Colombia vs Congo DR FIFA World Cup match will end in a tie after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. On Kalshi, a tie in the first half is priced at 94.0%. The market resolves based on the official result at the conclusion of the first half on June 23, 2026, as determined by FIFA. Watch for team lineups and weather conditions announced before kickoff, as these factors typically influence early-match dynamics and scoring patterns.
The first half winner is determined by the score after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Colombia leads at halftime, Congo DR leads at halftime, or the teams are tied at halftime. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional analyst consensus. While sports analysts may rely on historical head-to-head records, team form, and tactical breakdowns, prediction markets incorporate live sentiment and fast-moving information. For this first-half matchup, compare the market's implied probability to published expert predictions from soccer forecasting sites and sports media. Prediction markets typically react faster to breaking news like injury announcements or lineup changes, potentially offering different valuations than pre-match analyst reports.
On Kalshi, Colombia vs Congo DR: First Half Winner is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability each team wins the opening 45 minutes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The contract price moves based on order flow and trader positioning; as more capital backs one outcome, the price shifts to reflect updated market belief. You can buy or sell at the current bid-ask spread, and your position settles once the first half concludes and the winner is determined. Kalshi's transparent order book shows depth and recent trades, helping you gauge conviction and liquidity around each outcome.
The market resolves on Jun 24, 2026, after the first half of the Colombia vs Congo DR match concludes. Resolution is determined by which team scores more goals in the opening 45 minutes of regulation play. The outcome is final once the referee signals the end of the first half and official scorekeeping is confirmed. Early resolution does not occur; the market remains open for trading throughout the first half and settles only after the half-time whistle.
Key catalysts include official team lineups and injury announcements, which can shift perceived first-half balance. Early goals or red cards during the match itself will trigger sharp price moves as the outcome becomes more certain. Pre-match momentum—such as recent form, player availability, or tactical adjustments—often drives trading in the hours before kickoff. Weather conditions and referee assignments may also influence trader positioning. Real-time match events like injuries to key players or tactical substitutions will cause rapid repricing as traders update their probability estimates for a first-half winner.