TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 2:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Collingwood Magpies and Geelong Cats, scheduled for September 18 at 10:35PM ET. This market will resolve to "Collingwood Magpies" if Collingwood Magpies is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Geelong Cats" if Geelong Cats is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Collingwood Magpies and Geelong Cats, scheduled for September 18 at 10:35PM ET. This market will resolve to "Collingwood Magpies" if Collingwood Magpies is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Geelong Cats" if Geelong Cats is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, with higher demand pushing prices up and increased supply driving them down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Collingwood Magpies versus Geelong Cats AFL Grand Final match. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The final result will be publicly available on Polymarket following verification.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the AFL Grand Final. Any significant news regarding player injuries, team selection changes, or unexpected coaching decisions could trigger shifts in trader sentiment. Performance in lead-up matches, weather forecasts for the game day, and even public opinion expressed through polls and media coverage could also play a role. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also lead to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.