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College Football: Week 4 Unranked Upsets
kalshi

College Football: Week 4 Unranked Upsets

Volume:
$28,282

1+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

 - Kalshi

1+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 3:06 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

1+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,804
N/A
N/A
$6,611
Settled
Yes
kalshi

2+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,553
N/A
N/A
$4,638
Settled
Yes
kalshi

3+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,804
N/A
N/A
$5,545
Settled
No
kalshi

5+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,094
N/A
N/A
$4,326
Settled
No
kalshi

4+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,027
N/A
N/A
$2,027
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This set of markets tracks how many unranked college football teams manage to defeat ranked opponents during a specific week of the season. The outcomes depend on the performance of lower-tier teams against their higher-ranked counterparts, reflecting potential surprises and upsets in the sport.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the number of unranked teams that defeat AP Top 25 ranked teams during Week 4 of the 2026-27 college football season. The AP Top 25 rankings used for determination are those published for Week 4; if no Week 4 poll is released before the games, the most recent poll available will be used. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of upsets (from 1 to 5 unranked victories over Top 25 teams). If the number of such upsets meets or exceeds the threshold specified for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets operate independently, allowing participants to speculate on different levels of upset activity within the same week.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Week 4 unranked upsets market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the short_topic. It shows the current top outcome, historical price trends, and 24-hour volume of $20,614. This single-venue view updates continuously as traders place bets, letting you monitor how market sentiment shifts throughout the week.

On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment about which unranked teams might pull off upsets in Week 4. Sportsbook odds, set by professional oddsmakers, often favor higher-ranked teams more strongly. Prediction markets can show sharper shifts if unexpected factors emerge, like key player injuries or weather conditions. Traders in this market may assign higher probabilities to upsets than traditional sportsbooks, especially when public perception diverges from actual team performance trends.

This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on whether any unranked team pulls off a surprising win against a ranked opponent during Week 4, as reported by major sports news outlets.

Injuries to key players, last-minute coaching changes, or weather disruptions could shift this market sharply before Sep 28, 2026. High-profile matchups may also attract larger trading volumes, especially if polls or analysts release updated rankings that affect perceived upset probabilities. Any breaking news impacting team performance can cause rapid price swings.