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College Football: Week 3 Unranked Upsets
kalshi

What is the number of unranked college football upsets in Week 3?

Volume:
$17,808

2+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

 - Kalshi

2+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 10:28 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

2+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,603
N/A
N/A
$5,639
Settled
Yes
kalshi

1+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,958
N/A
N/A
$3,025
Settled
Yes
kalshi

3+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,132
N/A
N/A
$3,118
Settled
No
kalshi

4+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,699
N/A
N/A
$1,605
Settled
No
kalshi

5+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,417
N/A
N/A
$1,400
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This set of markets tracks how many unranked college football teams manage to defeat ranked opponents during a specific week of the season. The outcomes depend on the number of upsets achieved, with each market requiring a different minimum number of such victories to settle positively.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the performance of unranked college football teams against Top 25 ranked opponents during Week 3 of the 2026-27 season. The AP Top 25 Poll ranking status, as determined by the Week 3 poll release prior to the games, defines which teams are considered 'ranked.' If the Week 3 poll isn’t released before the games, the most recent published AP Poll is used instead. Each market has a specific threshold—ranging from one to five upsets—for unranked teams to achieve in order for the market to resolve as 'Yes.' If the required number of upsets occurs, the market settles positively; otherwise, it settles negatively. All markets operate independently, with their resolution contingent solely on meeting or exceeding their respective numerical thresholds for unranked team victories over Top 25 opponents in that week.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Week 3 unranked upsets market on Kalshi tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $14,814. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the chances of underdog teams pulling off surprises against higher-ranked opponents. This visualization helps users monitor market momentum and compare shifts in sentiment throughout the week leading up to game days.

Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. Traders on Kalshi may price in factors beyond simple point spreads, such as team form, injuries, or weather conditions. While sportsbooks set fixed odds based on analytical models, the prediction market lets participants bet directly on the likelihood of upsets occurring, sometimes showing sharper or more volatile adjustments as new information emerges.

This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the games are completed and results are verifiable from credible public reporting. Each upset’s success or failure is evaluated based on final scores from Week 3 matchups involving unranked teams facing ranked opponents. The market settles automatically once all relevant games have concluded and official results are widely reported.

Injuries to key players, weather forecasts for game day, and last-minute coaching decisions could all shift this market. High-profile performances from underdog teams or surprising starting lineups may also cause rapid price changes. As the games approach, any news that alters the perceived likelihood of an upset — whether from practice reports or analyst commentary — can move trader sentiment and, consequently, the odds on Kalshi.