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College Football: Week 1 Unranked Upsets
kalshi

Will there be unranked upsets in Week 1 of the 2026-27 college football season?

Volume:
$42,894

1+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

 - Kalshi

1+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 8:44 AM EST

kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

1+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,402
N/A
N/A
$9,560
Settled
No
kalshi

2+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,056
N/A
N/A
$8,381
Settled
No
kalshi

3+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,422
N/A
N/A
$1,962
Settled
No
kalshi

5+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,059
N/A
N/A
$898
Settled
No
kalshi

4+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$955
N/A
N/A
$872
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks whether unranked college football teams can defeat highly ranked opponents in the opening week of the 2026-27 season. It focuses on the potential for surprising upsets that could reshape early season expectations and rankings.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds of unranked teams defeating AP Top 25 ranked opponents during Week 1 of the 2026-27 college football season, with thresholds ranging from one to five such upsets. All games played between August 22, 2026, and September 7, 2026, are considered part of Week 1. Team rankings are determined by the Week 1 AP Top 25 Poll for the 2026-27 season; if this poll isn’t released before Week 1 games, the most recently published AP Poll will be used instead. Any market resolves to Yes if the specified number of unranked teams achieve victories over Top 25 opponents during this window. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds often reflect a blend of expert opinions and crowd-sourced sentiment. Analysts may highlight specific matchups or team strengths, while traders in this market price in factors like recent performance trends, injuries, and betting momentum. The resulting odds can diverge from traditional polls, offering a dynamic snapshot of what bettors collectively expect from each game. This can reveal unexpected insights or shifts in perception leading up to kickoff.

This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Each matchup will be settled based on the final game result, and only upsets involving unranked teams will count toward the market outcome. The process ensures a clear, objective determination once all Week 1 games have concluded, aligning with standard sports event resolution practices on Kalshi.

Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategies, and early-season performance trends could all shift this market. Media narratives and power rankings may also influence trader sentiment. As kickoff approaches, any surprise line movements or betting spikes could cause rapid price adjustments. Stay alert for practice reports, weather forecasts, and any last-minute roster updates that might alter perceptions of underdog potential in this market.