TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 2:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific college football teams will be ranked among the top 10 in the official Associated Press Poll during Week 2 of the 2026-27 season. The outcome depends solely on the AP's official rankings publication, ensuring consistency across all markets.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team appears within the top 10 positions of the official Associated Press College Football Poll for Week 2 of the 2026-27 season. Resolution is exclusively based on the AP Poll published on the official Associated Press website for that week, regardless of conflicting rankings from other sources. All markets share identical resolution criteria and timing, with no additional conditions or variations between them.
On Kalshi, the odds in the Week 2 AP Top 10 market reflect trader sentiment about which teams will crack the top ten, often showing sharper movements than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader public betting trends and adjusted margins, prediction markets zero in on informed speculation about poll outcomes. This difference can produce varying implied probabilities — for example, a team might appear stronger in trader views than in sportsbook odds, depending on recent performance and analyst updates. The contrast offers traders a way to spot potential value based on how closely they follow college football dynamics.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the final ranking verified against official AP Poll releases and credible sports news sources. Once the Week 2 AP Poll is published, the market outcome is locked in based on whether the listed teams appear in the top ten positions. No further updates or revisions occur after that point, making the resolution straightforward and transparent for all participants.
Key college football games in week one — especially those involving ranked teams — will heavily influence this market, as surprising wins or losses adjust perceptions instantly. Injuries to star players, coaching strategies, and early-season performance metrics also shift trader sentiment. Media narratives and analyst rankings released before the poll can create momentum swings, while any controversy surrounding voting members may introduce volatility. All these factors feed into real-time price adjustments on Kalshi as the week progresses toward the official poll announcement.