TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 12:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines the first-quarter winner between Coastal Carolina and West Virginia. Possible outcomes are West Virginia winning, Coastal Carolina winning, or a tie.
The market resolves based on which team leads after the first quarter of play between Coastal Carolina and West Virginia. Outcomes include West Virginia winning, Coastal Carolina winning, or a tie. Only points scored during the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the scheduled start time, the market remains open; if not started within 48 hours, it resolves to a fair price. Kalshi states no affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities might arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and neither guarantees a specific outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each team winning the first quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Market participants are constantly updating their assessments, leading to dynamic price adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment. The more traders believe a team will win, the higher the price of their contract will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading after the first quarter of the Coastal Carolina vs West Virginia game will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The official result, as reported by sports authorities, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Coastal Carolina or West Virginia teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price movements in this market as traders react to new information.