TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional soccer match between Clube do Remo and Fluminense FC scheduled for March 12, 2026, as part of Brazil's Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Remo win, Fluminense win, or draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
The draw/tie market has conflicting cancellation resolution logic. Polymarket resolves to YES if the game is canceled with no make-up, while Kalshi's cancellation handling is not explicitly stated, creating ambiguity in a low-probability but material edge case.Hero Tip:
If you are long the draw on Polymarket and short on Kalshi, a game cancellation creates a profitable arbitrage. Conversely, if short draw on Polymarket and long on Kalshi, cancellation creates a loss. Hedge or clarify Kalshi's cancellation rule before March 12, 2026.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three binary markets (Remo win, Fluminense win, draw). All three markets remain open if postponed. Remo and Fluminense win markets resolve NO if canceled with no make-up. Draw market uniquely resolves YES if canceled with no make-up. All markets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.Kalshi:
Three binary markets (Remo win, Fluminense win, Tie). All three resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided for any market. Postponement and cancellation handling not detailed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.