TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Comerciantes Unidos
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Club Universitario de Deportes vs CD Comerciantes Unidos?

Volume:
$517,399

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 11:36 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$115,577
N/A
N/A
$48,100
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Comerciantes Unidos)

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Universitario

View
0%
76%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$199,720
N/A
N/A
$133,924
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Universitario de Deportes

View
0%
71%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,810
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Comerciantes U.

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$175,466
N/A
N/A
$57,387
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Comerciantes Unidos

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,655
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the September 5, 2026, Peru Liga 1 soccer match between Club Universitario de Deportes and CD Comerciantes Unidos, specifically whether the game will end in a draw. Currently, the aggregated probability across Polymarket and Kalshi indicates a 100.0% chance of a draw, according to data from https://liga1.pe/. This aggregation combines markets from both platforms, despite differing outcome coverage—Kalshi resolves to Yes for any result, while Polymarket uses separate markets for win, draw, and loss. Keep an eye on the match result itself on September 5, 2026, to see if the consensus holds true.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure divergence — Polymarket uses three separate binary outcomes while Kalshi uses a single market that resolves to Yes for any outcomeHero tip: Kalshi market will always resolve to Yes unless the match is canceled with no makeup game. Polymarket markets are outcome-specific and will resolve to No for any outcome not matching the specific question. Trade with awareness of this structural difference.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Will Universitario win? Will it end in a draw? Will Comerciantes Unidos win? Each resolves to Yes/No based on exact match outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Kalshi: Single market resolving to Yes if Universitario wins OR Comerciantes Unidos wins OR the match ends in a draw (any outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time). Resolves to No only if the match is canceled with no makeup game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Saturday, September 5, 2026 between Club Universitario de Deportes and CD Comerciantes Unidos.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Universitario vs Comerciantes U. professional Peru Liga 1 soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective team market if that team wins the match within regular time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers results from regular time, with no regard for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Universitario de Deportes vs. Comerciantes Unidos match market aggregates betting activity across multiple venues, showing real-time probabilities and volume trends. It tracks how traders on different platforms price the likelihood of various match outcomes, offering a consensus view of market sentiment. With current volume at $517,399 and 24-hour volume of $513,677, it reflects overall interest and shifts in expectation as the event approaches.

Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting playability, or shifting team strategies can all impact this market. Coach decisions, recent form, and even early game events like red cards often cause rapid probability shifts. As the match nears, any news from reliable sports outlets may cause sharp movements in trader sentiment and pricing on platforms tracking this outcome.