TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna - More Markets
Volume:
$77,916
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Liga MX match between Club Tijuana and Club Santos Laguna scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET. Markets span total goals (Over/Under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5), both teams to score, and various spread outcomes (-2.5, -1.5 for each team). Resolution depends on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket spread markets are structured as mutually exclusive binary outcomes (one outcome per market), while Kalshi spread markets are structured as independent Yes/No triggers that can overlap. Both platforms agree on the 90-minute resolution window and ligamx.net as primary source, but the market architecture creates different settlement semantics.Hero Tip:
On Polymarket, exactly one spread market resolves to the favored team per match. On Kalshi, multiple markets can resolve Yes from the same match outcome. Example: Tijuana 3-0 Santos triggers Yes on both Kalshi 2.5-goal and 1.5-goal Tijuana markets, but only one Polymarket spread (Tijuana -2.5) resolves to Tijuana. Adjust position sizing and hedge strategy accordingly.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Four mutually exclusive spread markets. Tijuana -2.5 resolves to Tijuana only if Tijuana wins by 3+; otherwise Santos Laguna. Tijuana -1.5 resolves to Tijuana only if Tijuana wins by 2+; otherwise Santos Laguna. Santos -1.5 and Santos -2.5 mirror this logic. Each market has exactly one winner per match outcome. Quote: 'This market will resolve to [Team] if [Team] win the game by [threshold] or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to [Other Team].'
- Kalshi: Four independent Yes/No markets with overlapping triggers. Tijuana 2.5+ market resolves Yes if Tijuana wins by 3+ OR Santos wins by 3+. Tijuana 1.5+ market resolves Yes if Tijuana wins by 2+ OR Santos wins by 2+. Santos 1.5+ and Santos 2.5+ follow the same cumulative logic. Multiple markets can resolve Yes from a single match result. Quote: 'If Tijuana de Caliente wins by more than 2.5 goals...then the market resolves to Yes. If Santos Laguna wins by more than 2.5 goals...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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