TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC?

Volume:
$4,886,718

Tijuana de Caliente

 - Kalshi

Tijuana de Caliente - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 25, 2026

Closed: Jul 25, 1:05 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tijuana de Caliente

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,735,764
N/A
N/A
$1,389,279
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Club Tijuana

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$563,151
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Leon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$887,297
N/A
N/A
$524,163
Settled
No
polymarket

Club León FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85,510
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$544,483
N/A
N/A
$301,262
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70,513
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Club Tijuana will win their Liga MX soccer match against Club León FC on July 24, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for Club Tijuana to win stands at 100.0%, while Club León FC has a 0.1% chance according to data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on the official result reported by Liga MX at https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos. The upcoming match on July 24, 2026, will provide the definitive outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation (no make-up game), while Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation handling and assumes game completion. Win markets on both platforms resolve NO on cancellation, creating an asymmetry only for the draw/tie outcome.Hero tip: If the match is canceled without a make-up game, Polymarket draw bettors win automatically, but Kalshi tie bettors face potential settlement ambiguity. Verify cancellation language with Kalshi support before market close. Treat Polymarket draw as a partial hedge against cancellation risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Tijuana win (NO on cancel), León win (NO on cancel), Draw (YES on cancel with no make-up). All reference official Liga MX statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus if delayed. Scope: 90 minutes + stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcome markets: Tijuana win, León win, Tie. No explicit cancellation clause provided. All reference 90 minutes + stoppage time. Implicitly assumes match occurs; cancellation handling undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Friday, July 24, 2026 between Club Tijuana and Club León FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Tijuana de Caliente vs Leon Liga MX match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. The match outcome is classified into three mutually exclusive results: a Tijuana de Caliente victory, a Leon victory, or a tie. If the scheduled match is cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established rules rather than to any specific outcome.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market activity across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Club Tijuana vs. León FC match. Traders on both venues are pricing the likelihood of various outcomes, including which team will emerge victorious. The cross-platform view lets you compare how each community is assessing the matchup in real time. Combined volume across these venues reflects the total capital deployed on this fixture, giving you a sense of market conviction and liquidity. Whether you're tracking consensus odds or hunting for divergences between platforms, this unified view consolidates the key data points in one place.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and risk management, then adjust them to balance their book. Prediction markets, by contrast, rely on continuous trading by many participants, allowing prices to reflect real-time consensus. This market aggregates odds from Polymarket and Kalshi, where traders buy and sell shares tied to match outcomes. Because prediction markets often attract informed bettors and operate with minimal friction, they can sometimes lead or diverge from sportsbook pricing. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning itself relative to traditional oddsmakers.