Polymarket and Kalshi cover different resolution domains: match outcome (binary) vs. total goals (threshold-based). While not logically contradictory, they require separate resolution paths and Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation language.
Hero Tip:
These markets are complementary, not conflicting. Trade them as independent events: Polymarket for match winner, Kalshi for goal volume. Cross-check Kalshi's cancellation policy with the platform directly, as it is not specified in the provided terms.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets (Monterrey Win, Santos Laguna Win, Draw). Resolution source is official Liga MX statistics (ligamx.net) with 2-hour window; fallback to credible reporting consensus. Cancellation without makeup resolves to No (or Yes for draw). Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Kalshi: Four total goals markets (Over 4.5, 3.5, 2.5, 1.5 combined goals). Resolves Yes if threshold exceeded after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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