TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Cruz Azul
Volume:
$565,182
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Liga MX professional soccer match between Club Santos Laguna and CF Cruz Azul scheduled for March 3, 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on the final outcome (win/loss/draw) after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's single market lists all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Cruz Azul win, Santos Laguna win, Tie) as resolving to Yes, creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with proper mutually exclusive resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market structure is broken and cannot be fairly settled. Every possible game outcome would trigger a Yes resolution, violating the core principle that a market must have at least one falsifiable outcome. Avoid trading Kalshi. Trade only Polymarket's three separate binary markets, which have sound resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Single market with three branches, all resolving to Yes. All possible outcomes (Cruz Azul win, Santos Laguna win, Tie) are specified to resolve to Yes. This creates a tautology where the market cannot resolve to No under any game outcome. Quote: 'If Cruz Azul wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Santos Laguna wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution. Draw market resolves Yes only on draw, Santos market resolves Yes only on Santos win, Cruz Azul market resolves Yes only on Cruz Azul win. Each market has a clear Yes and No outcome. Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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