TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Cruz Azul
kalshi
polymarket

Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Cruz Azul

Volume:
$565,182

Cruz Azul

 - Kalshi

Cruz Azul - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Mar 3, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cruz Azul

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$208,403
N/A
N/A
$171,425
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CF Cruz Azul

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$170,560
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Santos Laguna

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112,963
N/A
N/A
$78,497
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,931
N/A
N/A
$18,525
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Santos Laguna

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,003
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Cruz Azul)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the Liga MX professional soccer match between Club Santos Laguna and CF Cruz Azul scheduled for March 3, 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on the final outcome (win/loss/draw) after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's single market lists all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Cruz Azul win, Santos Laguna win, Tie) as resolving to Yes, creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with proper mutually exclusive resolution logic.Hero tip: Kalshi's market structure is broken and cannot be fairly settled. Every possible game outcome would trigger a Yes resolution, violating the core principle that a market must have at least one falsifiable outcome. Avoid trading Kalshi. Trade only Polymarket's three separate binary markets, which have sound resolution logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Single market with three branches, all resolving to Yes. All possible outcomes (Cruz Azul win, Santos Laguna win, Tie) are specified to resolve to Yes. This creates a tautology where the market cannot resolve to No under any game outcome. Quote: 'If Cruz Azul wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Santos Laguna wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution. Draw market resolves Yes only on draw, Santos market resolves Yes only on Santos win, Cruz Azul market resolves Yes only on Cruz Azul win. Each market has a clear Yes and No outcome. Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.