TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Santos Laguna vs. CF América
Volume:
$182,737
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Liga MX soccer match between Club Santos Laguna and CF América scheduled for April 4, 2026. Polymarket offers three binary markets on match outcome (Santos win, draw, América win), while Kalshi offers four over/under markets on total goals scored by both teams combined.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi measure fundamentally different settlement values: match outcome (three-way result) versus goal volume (four independent thresholds). While both use the same time scope and primary source (official Liga MX), they resolve to different data points and have inconsistent cancellation handling.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket and Kalshi as separate prediction families. Polymarket resolves to one of three outcomes; Kalshi resolves to four independent yes/no outcomes based on goal count. Both depend on Liga MX official statistics within 2 hours of match end. Confirm Kalshi's cancellation protocol before the match—Polymarket explicitly resolves goal markets to Yes on cancellation, but Kalshi does not specify this.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets on match result (Santos win, draw, América win). Each resolves based on final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Primary source is official Liga MX statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours. Cancellation with no makeup: Santos/América win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes.
- Kalshi: Four independent over/under markets on combined goals (thresholds: 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5). Each resolves Yes if total goals exceed threshold after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; primary source implied to be official match statistics.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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