TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC?

Volume:
$2,807,198

Atlas

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 1:11 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Atlas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,311,868
N/A
N/A
$736,207
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Atlas FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$223,566
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Santos Laguna

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$608,249
N/A
N/A
$425,378
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Santos Laguna

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99,072
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$511,430
N/A
N/A
$289,507
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,013
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Liga MX professional soccer match between Club Santos Laguna and Atlas FC scheduled for July 25, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability shows Atlas FC winning at 100.0%, with Club Santos Laguna at 0.1%. Data is drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, resolving based on the official result at https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos. Watch the match result on July 25, 2026, as it will determine the market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's three-market structure lacks explicit cancellation rules, creating ambiguity about whether all three markets would resolve Yes (logically impossible) or follow a different protocol. Polymarket's Draw market has asymmetric cancellation behavior (Yes on cancellation) compared to win markets (No on cancellation).Hero tip: On Polymarket, the Draw market is a hedge against cancellation—it resolves Yes if the game is canceled with no makeup. Win markets resolve No in that scenario. On Kalshi, request clarification on cancellation protocol before trading. Both platforms agree on postponement (markets stay open) and on the 90-minute regular play scope.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Santos Laguna win and Atlas FC win both resolve No if canceled entirely. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled entirely with no makeup game. All reference official Liga MX statistics within 2 hours, or credible consensus thereafter. Regular play only (90 min + stoppage).
  • Kalshi: Three separate Yes/No markets for each outcome (Santos win, Atlas win, Tie). Each resolves Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Implies mutual exclusivity but lacks fallback logic for game cancellation or postponement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between Club Santos Laguna and Atlas FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Santos Laguna vs Atlas Liga MX match on July 25, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are not considered. The match result is classified into three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Santos Laguna victory, an Atlas victory, or a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price determined in accordance with standard procedures rather than to a specific outcome.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC match. Traders on both venues are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes in real time. The cross-platform view lets you monitor consensus odds and spot where the two markets diverge, giving you a fuller picture of how the broader prediction community sees this matchup. Volume and price movements across both platforms help signal confidence shifts as the event approaches.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect what traders actually believe will happen. Prediction market prices often converge toward true probability over time because traders profit by being accurate. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where bettors and traders disagree, sometimes highlighting value or consensus shifts that haven't yet been priced into traditional betting lines.

Key catalysts include team news such as player injuries, lineup changes, or managerial decisions that affect competitive balance. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings can all shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any late-breaking developments in the days before kickoff often trigger sharp price moves. Social media momentum, expert predictions, and shifts in betting volume on traditional sportsbooks can also influence prediction market prices as traders react to new information and consensus updates.