TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Puebla vs. FC Juárez
Volume:
$413,007
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Club Puebla and FC Juárez will compete in a Liga MX match on April 3, 2026. The event group encompasses three binary outcome markets (Puebla win, Juárez win, draw) and four over/under total goals markets (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5). All markets reference the same 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket settles on match outcome (win/loss/draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, while Kalshi settles exclusively on total goals scored by both teams combined. These are fundamentally different resolution dimensions for the same underlying event.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on who wins the match. If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on goal volume only — a team can win 1-0 and satisfy Kalshi's >1.5 goals threshold, but a 0-0 draw satisfies neither platform. Do not assume Polymarket and Kalshi outcomes will align; a Puebla win 2-1 resolves YES on Polymarket (Puebla) but YES on all four Kalshi markets (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5 goals). Conversely, a 0-0 draw resolves YES on Polymarket (draw) but NO on all Kalshi markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three outcome-based markets (FC Juárez win, Club Puebla win, draw) that collectively partition all possible match results within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolution is based on official Liga MX statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Key quote: 'If FC Juárez wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers four goal-threshold markets (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5 total goals) that are independent of match outcome and resolve solely on aggregate scoring by both teams combined within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key quote: 'If Juarez and Puebla collectively score more than X total goals in the Puebla vs Juarez professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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