TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Club Puebla vs. Deportivo Toluca FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Club Puebla vs Deportivo Toluca FC?

Volume:
$340,310

Deportivo Toluca FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 1:05 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Deportivo Toluca FC

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$195,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toluca

View
58%
16%
Yes 58¢No 42¢
100¢
N/A
$41,078
N/A
N/A
$31,576
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
22%
12%
Yes 22¢No 78¢
100¢
N/A
$4,438
N/A
N/A
$3,584
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Club Puebla vs. Deportivo Toluca FC)

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,447
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Puebla

View
20%
3%
Yes 20¢No 80¢
100¢
N/A
$22,830
N/A
N/A
$14,645
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Puebla

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Deportivo Toluca FC will win their Liga MX soccer match against Club Puebla on September 4, 2026. Currently, the aggregated probability of a Deportivo Toluca FC win is 100.0%, with Club Puebla at 0.1%. These probabilities are an aggregation of views from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official statistics from the Liga MX governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting consensus if needed. Keep an eye on the match result itself, as the markets will resolve based on the outcome determined by September 16, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core logic: resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of cancellations and postponsements where applicable.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from Liga MX governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting consensus if needed

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Extra time and penalty outcomes are explicitly excluded from consideration
  • If the match is canceled with no makeup game, markets resolve according to their specific cancellation clauses (e.g., 'No' for win markets, 'Yes' for draw market)

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Cancellations: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup date, the Puebla win and Toluca win markets resolve to 'No', the draw market resolves to 'Yes', and all markets remain open if merely postponed
  • Data Source Fallback: If official results are not published within 2 hours after the match, fallback sources are Flashscore → Sofascore → credible reporting consensus
Timing: Markets resolve after the match concludes and official statistics are published, with a maximum of 2 hours for fallback sources to be used if official data is delayedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Friday, September 4, 2026 between Club Puebla and Deportivo Toluca FC.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes of the Puebla vs Toluca professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for September 4, 2026: a win for Puebla, a win for Toluca, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market corresponds to one of these outcomes and resolves positively if that specific result occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves as the winner. Additionally, if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Puebla vs. Toluca matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the chances of different outcomes. It displays current probabilities, volume of $340,310, and 24-hour volume of $274,594 across platforms. This centralized view lets participants see consensus trends and compare how Polymarket and Kalshi users evaluate the contest, making it easier to spot shifts in sentiment as the match approaches.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user base, liquidity, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its odds toward a favorite team, while the other could reflect a more global, neutral audience. Liquidity gaps can also amplify small trades into larger price moves, especially in lower-volume markets. These factors combine to create distinct valuations that evolve separately until the event’s outcome is confirmed.

Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or shifting weather conditions could all move this market as the match nears. Media narratives and pre-game polls may also sway trader sentiment, especially if one side gains momentum in practice sessions or recent form. Any unexpected development that alters the perceived balance of power can cause rapid shifts in probability and volume before the final whistle.