This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the professional Liga MX soccer match between Club Puebla and Club Necaxa scheduled for March 13, 2026. The markets collectively capture all possible outcomes: a Puebla win, a Necaxa win, or a draw. Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket's Draw market resolves Yes if the game is canceled with no makeup, while Puebla and Necaxa win markets resolve No. Kalshi does not specify cancellation logic, creating ambiguity about market fate if the game does not occur.
Hero Tip:
Monitor Liga MX official announcements for any postponement or cancellation. If the game is canceled with no makeup, expect Polymarket's Draw market to resolve Yes while Puebla and Necaxa markets resolve No. Kalshi's markets may be voided or remain open pending rescheduling. Avoid holding positions across both platforms without clarifying their cancellation handling in advance.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate markets: Puebla Win (Yes if Puebla wins, No otherwise or if canceled), Draw (Yes if draw or if canceled with no makeup), Necaxa Win (Yes if Necaxa wins, No otherwise or if canceled). Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (Draw only) vs. 'No' (Puebla/Necaxa).
Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets: all resolve Yes if their respective outcome occurs during 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key Quote: 'If Necaxa wins...then the market resolves to Yes' (and similarly for Tie and Puebla), with silence on game non-occurrence.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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