TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Puebla vs. Club León FC
Volume:
$373,214
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Friday, April 10, 2026 between Club Puebla and Club León FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three markets create a logical contradiction: all three outcomes (León win, Puebla win, Tie) are specified to resolve YES, making it impossible for exactly one market to resolve YES. Polymarket's three markets are mutually exclusive and logically sound. This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group. Kalshi's resolution rules are logically impossible — they state that a León win resolves YES, a Puebla win resolves YES, and a Tie resolves YES, meaning all three markets would resolve YES simultaneously, which violates basic market design. Polymarket's markets are properly structured: exactly one of the three outcomes (Puebla win, León win, or draw) will occur and trigger exactly one YES resolution. Trade only on Polymarket.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical contradiction. All three markets are written to resolve YES for their respective outcomes: 'If Leon wins... then the market resolves to Yes', 'If Puebla wins... then the market resolves to Yes', and 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes'. Since exactly one of these three outcomes must occur, all three Kalshi markets would resolve YES simultaneously, which is structurally impossible and unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Provides three mutually exclusive markets (Puebla win, León win, draw) where exactly one will resolve YES and the others NO, based on the official Liga MX match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Primary source is official Liga MX statistics (ligamx.net), with fallback to credible reporting if official stats unavailable within 2 hours post-match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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