TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 9:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Liga MX game between Club Necaxa and Atlante FC, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Liga MX game between Club Necaxa and Atlante FC, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and operate under different constraints. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, incorporating a profit margin. Prediction markets, by contrast, reflect pure trader belief—there is no built-in spread or house edge. This market's odds may move faster or more dramatically than traditional sportsbooks in response to breaking news or injury reports, since traders can adjust positions instantly. Both venues aggregate information, but prediction markets typically reward accuracy over time, creating incentives for informed participation.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds for each possible exact score. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares representing their belief in a specific outcome, and the cumulative volume on each outcome determines its price. The top outcome currently reflects strong consensus among participants. Prices adjust continuously as new trades flow in, allowing the market to incorporate fresh information right up until the event concludes. This mechanism ensures that the odds always represent the marginal trader's assessment of likelihood.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the match between Necaxa and Atlante FC is complete and the final score is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation play. Traders who correctly predicted the final score earn their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing the platform to settle positions and distribute winnings promptly.
Several factors can shift odds before kickoff and during the match. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers sharp price moves. Weather conditions, recent form, and head-to-head history may also influence trader positioning. During the game itself, early goals, red cards, or momentum swings can cause rapid repricing as the probability of each exact score outcome changes. Late-breaking information about player availability or venue issues could also move this market. Traders monitor these signals continuously to adjust their positions and lock in value.