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$134.1b

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$113,466,932

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2,388,728,490

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402,751

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30,217

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC?

Volume:
$5,355,042

Necaxa

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 17, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 11:38 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Necaxa

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,812,936
N/A
N/A
$581,851
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Club Necaxa

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$314,875
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,605,845
N/A
N/A
$638,274
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$128,429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlante

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,258,085
N/A
N/A
$595,343
Settled
No
polymarket

Atlante FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$234,872
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Liga MX professional soccer match between Club Necaxa and Atlante FC scheduled for July 16, 2026, with resolution determined by the final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Aggregated data from Polymarket and Kalshi shows a consensus probability of 100.0% for a Necaxa victory, with Atlante FC at 0.1%. Official Liga MX statistics will serve as the resolution source. Watch for the match kickoff on July 16, 2026, which will determine the final settlement on July 17, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly defines cancellation outcomes (No for wins, Yes for draw), while Kalshi omits cancellation and postponement guidance entirely. This creates ambiguity in how Kalshi markets would settle if the match does not occur.Hero tip: Before the match date, confirm Kalshi's cancellation and postponement protocol in writing. Polymarket traders should note the asymmetric cancellation logic: if the match is canceled with no makeup, Necaxa Win and Atlante Win both resolve No, but Draw resolves Yes - creating a logical inconsistency where a canceled match is treated as a draw.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Necaxa Win, Draw, Atlante Win) with explicit cancellation rules. Necaxa Win resolves No if canceled. Draw resolves Yes if canceled. Atlante Win resolves No if canceled. Postponed matches remain open until completion. Resolution based on official governing body statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
  • Kalshi: Three separate Yes/No markets covering all outcomes (Necaxa Win, Atlante Win, Tie). No cancellation or postponement guidance provided. Implicit assumption is standard sports market protocol, but not explicitly stated. Resolution source not specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Thursday, July 16, 2026 between Club Necaxa and Atlante FC.

Kalshi

The Necaxa vs Atlante Liga MX match scheduled for July 16, 2026 will be evaluated based on the final result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are tracked: a Necaxa victory, an Atlante victory, or a tie. Each outcome market resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the match ends in a draw, the Tie market resolves to Yes while the Necaxa and Atlante markets resolve to No. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original July 16 date, all markets will resolve to a fair price determined in accordance with standard resolution procedures.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Necaxa vs. Atlante FC match, letting you monitor real-time odds on match outcomes in one place. Traders on both venues are pricing their views of who will win, and you can compare consensus across platforms to spot where the crowd leans. The combined volume across these venues reflects active interest in this fixture, giving you a sense of market conviction and liquidity available for trading.

Prediction markets like those tracked here are often more efficient than traditional sportsbooks because they aggregate dispersed trader knowledge in real time, with no house edge built into the odds. Sportsbooks set fixed lines and adjust them to manage liability; prediction markets instead let supply and demand determine prices continuously. This market's odds reflect what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, which frequently diverges from sportsbook lines—sometimes offering sharper or more responsive pricing on match outcomes.

Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—often shifts odds significantly in the days before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any weather or venue factors can also influence trader sentiment. Major betting syndicates or sharp money moving into one side may signal conviction and trigger cascading price moves. As the match date approaches, late-breaking developments or shifts in public perception typically drive the most volatile repricing on this market.