TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Tolima
polymarket
kalshi

Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Tolima

Volume:
$186,303

Club Nacional de Football

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 15, 2026

Closed: Apr 14, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Club Nacional de Football

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$103,500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nacional

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31,292
N/A
N/A
$21,224
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CD Tolima

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,463
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tolima

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,197
N/A
N/A
$10,104
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,523
N/A
N/A
$7,540
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Tolima)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer match between Club Nacional de Football and CD Tolima scheduled for April 14, 2026. The match will be resolved based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation rules (draw resolves YES on cancellation; wins resolve NO), while Kalshi uses a unified three-outcome market. Both platforms agree on the 90-minute + stoppage time scope and official source hierarchy, but the market structure and cancellation payout logic differ materially.Hero tip: On Polymarket, the draw market acts as a cancellation hedge (YES payout if game canceled), while win markets do not. Cross-platform traders should account for this structural difference when comparing implied probabilities. Both platforms defer to official CONMEBOL statistics within 2 hours, then credible consensus reporting.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Nacional win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO, Tolima win YES/NO). Asymmetric cancellation: draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up; win markets resolve NO under same condition. Resolution source: official CONMEBOL statistics within 2 hours, then credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: Single unified three-outcome market: Nacional wins resolves YES, Tolima wins resolves YES, or Tie resolves YES. No explicit cancellation clause provided; market structure implies only one outcome can occur. Resolution source: official CONMEBOL statistics for the game originally scheduled April 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.