TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 10:12 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between Club Nacional de Football and CA Tigre, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre match originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between Club Nacional de Football and CA Tigre, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre match originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus—each participant risking real capital on their belief. Exact score markets on prediction platforms tend to show sharper, more granular pricing across dozens of outcomes than most retail sportsbooks offer. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where professional traders and casual bettors disagree on the most likely scorelines.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact score outcome through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism, where supply and demand for each scoreline determine its implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders backing a particular result—say, a 2–1 Nacional victory—the higher that outcome's price climbs, and vice versa. Liquidity pools or order books ensure you can buy or sell positions at transparent, real-time rates. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, prices adjust dynamically, allowing early movers to capture edge and latecomers to trade at updated odds reflecting the latest consensus.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, once the match concludes and the final scoreline is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official result. Traders holding positions matching the exact final score will receive payouts proportional to their stake and the odds at which they entered. Any goals, own goals, or other scoring events that occur during regulation time count toward the final tally used for settlement.
Team news—injuries to key strikers or defensive players—typically shifts exact score odds significantly, as does confirmation of starting lineups closer to kickoff. Historical head-to-head records and recent form trends influence trader positioning; a Nacional winning streak or Tigre's defensive struggles can reshape probability distributions across scorelines. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any last-minute tactical announcements may also trigger repricing. As the match approaches, odds tend to narrow and consolidate around the most likely outcomes, while early-market trades by sharp bettors often signal where informed money is flowing.