TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

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30,526

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2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre?

Volume:
$865,613

Reg Time: Tigre

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 22, 2026

Closed: Jul 21, 8:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Reg Time: Tigre

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$212,294
N/A
N/A
$116,951
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CA Tigre

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$189,264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Nacional

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$263,667
N/A
N/A
$186,559
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Nacional de Football

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,898
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$124,512
N/A
N/A
$91,002
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,977
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer match between Club Nacional de Football and CA Tigre scheduled for July 21, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability that CA Tigre will win is 100.0%, with Club Nacional de Football winning at 0.1%, based on data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and resolved via https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. Watch the match result on July 21, 2026, to see which team claims victory after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi structure the same match outcome space differently. Polymarket uses three mutually exclusive binary markets with explicit cancellation logic (Draw resolves Yes if canceled). Kalshi uses three independent outcome-specific Yes/No markets without published cancellation handling, creating ambiguity in edge cases.Hero tip: On Polymarket, the Draw market is a hedge against cancellation (resolves Yes). On Kalshi, the Tie market's cancellation behavior is undefined. If you are hedging cancellation risk, prefer Polymarket's Draw market. Before trading Kalshi's Tie market, confirm with the platform whether cancellation resolves Yes, No, or remains open.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets covering all outcomes. Cancellation with no make-up game: Nacional win and Tigre win resolve No, Draw resolves Yes. Resolution source: Official CONMEBOL statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Postponement keeps markets open until completion. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (Draw market).
  • Kalshi: Three independent Yes/No markets (Nacional win, Tigre win, Tie). Each resolves Yes only if its specific outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause published. Key Quote: 'If Tie is the result of the Nacional vs Tigre professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for Tuesday, July 21, 2026 between Club Nacional de Football and CA Tigre.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Nacional vs Tigre professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game originally scheduled for July 21, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The event resolves to one of three outcomes: Nacional wins, Tigre wins, or the match ends in a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data on the Nacional vs. Tigre match across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing you to monitor real-time odds and trading activity as the event approaches. Both venues host identical outcome questions, enabling you to compare how each platform's trader community prices the same matchup. The cross-platform view reveals consensus strength: when both venues align on a favorite, conviction tends to be higher. You can track volume, price movements, and shifting sentiment across venues to spot divergences that may signal new information or trading imbalances entering the market.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs directly through supply and demand. Prediction market prices often reflect sharper, less-biased estimates because traders risk real capital on accuracy. However, sportsbooks may incorporate additional data streams, injury reports, or late-breaking news faster than decentralized markets. Comparing this market's odds across both venues and against major sportsbooks can reveal mispricings worth exploiting, especially if one venue lags in incorporating new information.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price differences between venues typically stem from distinct user bases, liquidity pools, and fee structures. Polymarket and Kalshi may attract traders with different information sets, risk tolerances, or time horizons, causing temporary divergence. Platform-specific mechanics—such as withdrawal delays, trading hours, or minimum position sizes—can also create arbitrage opportunities. Additionally, one venue may react faster to breaking news or social media signals than the other. Monitoring these spreads helps you identify whether price gaps reflect genuine disagreement or temporary inefficiency worth trading.

Key injury announcements, team roster changes, or coaching decisions can significantly shift odds as traders reassess each side's chances. Recent form, head-to-head records, and any public statements from players or management may trigger repricing. Weather conditions, venue factors, or travel logistics closer to the match date can also influence sentiment. Major betting syndicates or sharp money entering either venue may signal new conviction, prompting other traders to follow. Social media momentum, expert predictions, and late-breaking tactical news often drive final price moves in the hours before kickoff. Monitoring these catalysts helps you anticipate market swings and time your trades strategically.