TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 11:31 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Club Nacional de Football and CA Progreso, scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Club Nacional de Football" if Club Nacional de Football score more goals than CA Progreso in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Club Nacional de Football and CA Progreso score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Progreso" if CA Progreso score more goals than Club Nacional de Football in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 48 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Club Nacional de Football and CA Progreso, scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Club Nacional de Football" if Club Nacional de Football score more goals than CA Progreso in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Club Nacional de Football and CA Progreso score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Progreso" if CA Progreso score more goals than Club Nacional de Football in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 48 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity, while sportsbooks set fixed lines that may incorporate additional factors like risk management and commission structures. The two can diverge due to different pricing models and participant bases. For this market, the current implied probability offers a unique perspective compared to sportsbook favorites, potentially revealing market expectations not captured by standard betting odds.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders collectively determine the price through their bets, creating a liquid market where supply and demand shape the odds. The top outcome’s current chance reflects the aggregated view of all participants, updating instantly with each new trade. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows for rapid adjustments as new information emerges, giving traders a nuanced view of expected outcomes for the Nacional vs. Progreso second-half result market.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official match records, and the market will close accordingly. Timing depends on when authoritative sources confirm the second-half result, typically shortly after the game concludes.
Injuries to key players, tactical changes by coaches, or shifting weather conditions could all impact this market as the match approaches. Additionally, early goal scoring or momentum swings during the first half may influence trader sentiment and shift odds dramatically. News reports, expert analysis, and crowd reactions on social media often serve as leading indicators of market movement in the days and hours leading up to Aug 23, 2026.