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$1,438,389,636

404,028

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2,681

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5

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VS.

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Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Club Nacional de Football vs CA Progreso?

Volume:
$400,309

Nacional

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 7:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nacional

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$85,684
N/A
N/A
$36,895
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Club Nacional de Football

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,835
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Progreso

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$189,022
N/A
N/A
$119,602
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Progreso

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$120,767
N/A
N/A
$49,157
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$861
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso soccer match scheduled for August 2, 2026, in the Uruguay Primera Division. The markets focus on determining whether Nacional wins, Progreso wins, or the match ends in a draw within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same resolution logic based on the official match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with a fallback to credible reporting if official data is delayed.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers (Auf)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve based on the official match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Use credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event
  • Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not affect the outcome

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed
  • Cancellation: Nacional win and Progreso win markets resolve to No; draw market resolves to Yes
Timing: Within 2 hours after the event's conclusionOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game, scheduled for Sunday, August 2, 2026 between Club Nacional de Football and CA Progreso.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final score of the Nacional vs Progreso professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each outcome—Nacional win, Progreso win, or tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

The Nacional vs. Progreso match-up market dashboard aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time consensus and divergence in trader expectations. It tracks the collective view from Polymarket and Kalshi on outcomes tied to this fixture. The dashboard visualizes total volume of $400,309 and recent 24-hour volume of $388,224, helping users monitor how betting sentiment evolves as the match approaches.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can diverge due to differences in user base, liquidity, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its probability toward a specific side, while the other reflects a global, more neutral audience. Such variations are normal and often amplify as the match date approaches, offering traders opportunities to exploit mispricings between venues.

Injuries to key players, weather forecasts, or tactical announcements from coaches can all shift this market in the days leading up to kickoff. Additionally, any significant betting activity on either Polymarket or Kalshi — especially large trades — may cause price adjustments, as will news about team form or disciplinary actions affecting starting lineups.