TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club León FC vs. Club Tijuana
Volume:
$196,012
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Liga MX professional soccer match between Club León FC and Club Tijuana scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: León victory, Tijuana victory, or a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory (all three mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to Yes). Polymarket distinguishes between win markets (No on cancellation) and draw market (Yes on cancellation).Hero Tip:
If the match is canceled without a makeup game, Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes while win markets resolve No. Kalshi's logical structure appears flawed. Monitor official Liga MX announcements for postponement or cancellation. Consider Polymarket draw as cancellation insurance.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three outcomes (León win, Tijuana win, tie) resolve to Yes if the match is played. Logic is internally contradictory since these are mutually exclusive outcomes. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Leon wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tijuana de Caliente wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with differentiated cancellation logic. León win and Tijuana win markets resolve No if canceled with no makeup. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup. All markets remain open if postponed pending completion. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to No' (win markets) and 'this market will resolve to Yes' (draw market).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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