TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Club León FC vs. Club Tijuana
kalshi
polymarket

Club León FC vs. Club Tijuana

Volume:
$196,012

Tijuana de Caliente

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 15, 2026

Closed: Mar 15, 12:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tijuana de Caliente

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$63,697
N/A
N/A
$46,645
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Club Tijuana

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,215
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Leon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,062
N/A
N/A
$30,068
Settled
No
polymarket

Club León FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,872
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,665
N/A
N/A
$13,109
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Club León FC vs. Club Tijuana)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,501
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the Liga MX professional soccer match between Club León FC and Club Tijuana scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: León victory, Tijuana victory, or a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory (all three mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to Yes). Polymarket distinguishes between win markets (No on cancellation) and draw market (Yes on cancellation).Hero tip: If the match is canceled without a makeup game, Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes while win markets resolve No. Kalshi's logical structure appears flawed. Monitor official Liga MX announcements for postponement or cancellation. Consider Polymarket draw as cancellation insurance.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: All three outcomes (León win, Tijuana win, tie) resolve to Yes if the match is played. Logic is internally contradictory since these are mutually exclusive outcomes. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Leon wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tijuana de Caliente wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three separate markets with differentiated cancellation logic. León win and Tijuana win markets resolve No if canceled with no makeup. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup. All markets remain open if postponed pending completion. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to No' (win markets) and 'this market will resolve to Yes' (draw market).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.