TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club León FC vs. Atlas FC
Volume:
$45,781
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Club León FC and Atlas FC are scheduled to compete in a Liga MX professional soccer match on April 4, 2026. The event group encompasses three binary outcome markets (León win, Atlas win, draw) and four total goals markets (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5). All markets reference the same underlying match and resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi offers four markets on total goals scored (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5), while Polymarket offers three markets on match outcome (Atlas win, León win, draw). The platforms resolve on fundamentally different event dimensions: Kalshi settles on aggregate goal count, Polymarket settles on match result.Hero Tip:
These markets measure different things. If you want to bet on total goals, use Kalshi. If you want to bet on who wins the match, use Polymarket. A single match result can satisfy multiple Kalshi markets simultaneously (e.g., a 3-0 Atlas win resolves YES on all four Kalshi markets), but only one Polymarket outcome market will resolve YES.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi settles on aggregate goals scored by both teams combined, with four separate thresholds (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5 goals). All markets reference 'after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties)' and resolve YES if the threshold is exceeded.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket settles on match outcome (Atlas win, León win, or draw), with three separate binary markets. Each resolves YES or NO based on the final result within 'the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time,' using official Liga MX statistics as the primary source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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