TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 11:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the outcome of a soccer match between Club Independiente Petrolero and GV CD San José scheduled for August 16, 2026, focusing on win/draw outcomes within regular play plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game, scheduled for Sunday, August 16, 2026 between Club Independiente Petrolero and GV CD San José.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Independiente Petrolero versus GV Club Deportivo San Jose de Oruro match scheduled for August 16, 2026, after 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Independiente Petrolero, a win for GV Club Deportivo San Jose de Oruro, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring that participants are not left in limbo due to unforeseen scheduling changes. The resolution strictly adheres to the result determined within the normal course of the match without considering post-regulation proceedings.
Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines due to different participant dynamics and pricing mechanisms. While sportsbooks may set lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets let traders bet directly on outcomes, which can create prices that reflect deeper or more niche insights. For example, trader sentiment here might imply a tighter race or an upset possibility not fully priced into sportsbook odds, offering alternative perspectives on the same contest.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. On Polymarket, traders react swiftly to new information, often pushing prices ahead of broader market adjustments. Meanwhile, Kalshi may see slower updates due to lower trading volume or different user dynamics. These factors, combined with varying liquidity levels, can cause noticeable gaps in implied probabilities between the two venues for this market.