TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Club Independiente Petrolero vs. CDOriente Petrolero
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Club Independiente Petrolero vs. CDOriente Petrolero?

Volume:
$12,711

Oriente

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 25, 9:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oriente

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,718
N/A
N/A
$3,587
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CDOriente Petrolero

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$474
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Independiente Petrolero

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,876
N/A
N/A
$4,218
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Independiente Petrolero

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$292
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,035
N/A
N/A
$1,904
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Club Independiente Petrolero vs. CDOriente Petrolero)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$316
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional soccer match between Club Independiente Petrolero and CDOriente Petrolero in the Bolivia Premier Division. Markets are offered on Polymarket (scheduled June 13, 2026) and Kalshi (scheduled July 25, 2026) with outcomes covering win/loss/draw results within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi reference the same matchup but with conflicting scheduled dates (June 13 vs July 25, 2026), incompatible market structures (three binary markets vs one all-outcomes market), and contradictory cancellation logic. Kalshi's market resolves YES regardless of outcome, making it non-predictive.Hero tip: This divergence indicates either a data integrity failure on one platform or two entirely different fixtures. Before trading, confirm the official match date via LFPB.com.bo. Kalshi's structure (all outcomes = YES) is logically incoherent for a prediction market and should be treated as a potential platform error. Polymarket's three-market structure is standard and resolvable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Independiente win YES/NO, draw YES/NO, Oriente win YES/NO) scheduled June 13, 2026. Draw market uniquely resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up; win markets resolve NO if canceled. Resolution source: official LFPB statistics within 2 hours or credible consensus. Covers 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Single combined market scheduled July 25, 2026 (12 days after Polymarket date). Market resolves YES if Independiente wins, YES if Oriente wins, or YES if tie occurs. No cancellation clause provided. Covers 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Quote: 'If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game, scheduled for Saturday, June 13, 2026 between Club Independiente Petrolero and CDOriente Petrolero.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Independiente Petrolero vs Oriente Bolivia Premier Division match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The match outcome resolves to one of three possibilities: an Independiente Petrolero victory, an Oriente victory, or a tie. If the scheduled match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Independiente Petrolero vs. Oriente Petrolero match. Traders on both venues are pricing the outcome of this fixture by placing real-money bets on who will win. The combined view lets you monitor consensus odds and total trading volume across venues, giving you a fuller picture of how the market is valuing each team's chances. Both platforms use the same underlying event but may weight information differently, creating opportunities to spot pricing gaps.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect real-time consensus from traders risking their own capital. Prediction market odds tend to be more efficient at incorporating new information because traders have direct financial incentive to correct mispricings. However, sportsbooks often have deeper liquidity and tighter spreads. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether traders are pricing the match more bullishly or bearishly than the betting public.

Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or managerial decisions can trigger sharp price swings on this market. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage also influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day and any late-breaking team news will likely drive last-minute volatility. Major betting syndicates moving large positions can also shift odds significantly. Traders should stay alert to official team communications and sports news outlets for updates that could reshape the competitive balance and repricing the odds before kickoff.