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Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Bamin Real Potosí
polymarket
kalshi

Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Bamin Real Potosí

Volume:
$867

Bamin Real Potosí

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 22, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 3:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bamin Real Potosí

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
16.3¢
N/A
$195
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Real Potosi

View
23%
Yes 23¢No 77¢
100¢
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$41
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
28%
Yes 28¢No 72¢
100¢
N/A
$258
N/A
N/A
$147
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Bamin Real Potosí)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$316
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Independiente Petrolero

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Independiente Petrolero

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional soccer match between Club Independiente Petrolero and Bamin Real Potosí in the Bolivia Premier Division. The match is scheduled for either May 23, 2026 (Polymarket) or June 13, 2026 (Kalshi), with resolution based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Date mismatch (May 23 vs June 13, 2026) combined with fundamentally different market structures. Kalshi's omnibus market resolves all outcomes to Yes, which is logically incoherent for a sports event and suggests data integrity failure. Polymarket's three-market structure is standard but the date discrepancy prevents unified resolution.Hero tip: This divergence is critical and unresolvable without external verification. Do not trade across platforms assuming they reference the same event. Contact both platforms to confirm: (1) the actual match date, (2) whether Kalshi's all-Yes resolution is intentional or an error, and (3) whether these markets are linked to the same fixture. The Kalshi market as written cannot resolve correctly for a competitive match.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets for May 23, 2026. Petrolero win resolves Yes if Petrolero wins, No otherwise. Potosí win resolves Yes if Potosí wins, No otherwise. Draw resolves Yes if match ends 0-0 or equal goals, No otherwise. Cancellation without makeup: draw market resolves Yes, win markets resolve No. Resolution source: official LFPB statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Single market for June 13, 2026 covering all three outcomes: 'If Independiente Petrolero wins...then Yes. If Tie wins...then Yes. If Real Potosí wins...then Yes.' This structure is logically impossible for a single market—all outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game, scheduled for Saturday, May 23, 2026 between Club Independiente Petrolero and Bamin Real Potosí.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the result of the Independiente Petrolero vs Real Potosi professional Bolivia Premier Division soccer game originally scheduled for June 13, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Independiente Petrolero resolves Yes if Independiente Petrolero wins during regulation. Real Potosi resolves Yes if Real Potosi wins during regulation. Tie resolves Yes if the match ends level after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity for Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Bamin Real Potosí across Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays the consensus probability for key outcomes—such as match winner and draw scenarios—alongside live volume and price movements. By tracking both platforms simultaneously, you gain a cross-market view of how traders are pricing this fixture, revealing which outcomes command the strongest conviction and where liquidity is concentrated. This multi-platform lens helps you spot arbitrage opportunities and understand broader market sentiment.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate independently of traditional sportsbooks, often reflecting different trader bases, liquidity pools, and risk appetites. While sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs in real time. For Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Bamin Real Potosí, prediction market odds may diverge from sportsbook lines due to different information sets, market depth, and settlement certainty. Comparing the two can reveal mispricings and help you identify value before the match.

Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes for either Club Independiente Petrolero or Bamin Real Potosí. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can also shift trader sentiment. Tactical announcements, managerial decisions, or unexpected roster rotations may trigger sharp repricing. Social media sentiment and expert analysis closer to kickoff often drive late volume spikes. Monitor official team channels and sports news outlets for developments that could materially alter the probability of each outcome.