TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Club Guarani and Sportivo Ameliano. Bettors can speculate on whether either team will win after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The market also includes an option for a tied result at the end of regulation time.
The event involves a professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for August 30, 2026, between Club Guarani and Sportivo Ameliano. Three distinct markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If Club Guarani secures a victory within regulation time, the 'Club Guarani' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, a win by Sportivo Ameliano within the same timeframe results in the 'Sportivo Ameliano' market resolving to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The resolution strictly considers the outcome at the end of regular time, with no account for subsequent proceedings such as extra time, penalties, or walkovers.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the way traders price in probabilities and because of the lower volume and different participant dynamics. While sportsbooks may offer adjusted odds to manage risk, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their beliefs, which can lead to sharper or more volatile prices depending on recent news and analysis.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match conclusion, and the market will close immediately after the final whistle, reflecting the confirmed winner or draw.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, weather conditions on the day of the match, and any last-minute lineup announcements could all shift this market. Additionally, strong recent form from either team or shifts in betting sentiment on Kalshi can cause price fluctuations as traders react to new information leading up to Aug 31, 2026.