TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 7:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent based on specific goal differences. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various margin-of-victory scenarios for the Club Guarani vs Libertad professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for August 2, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Club Guarani winning by more than 2.5 goals, Club Guarani winning by more than 1.5 goals, Libertad winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Libertad winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty phases explicitly excluded from consideration. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score difference will determine whether Libertad covers the spread or Guarani keeps it close, closing this market based on official match results.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or recent form for either team could shift this market significantly before Aug 3, 2026. Weather conditions, referee announcements, or even strong pre-match analysis from respected sports journalists may sway trader sentiment on Kalshi. Any unexpected developments that affect the perceived likelihood of Libertad covering the spread will be reflected quickly in the odds.