TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Club Guarani vs Libertad
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Club Guarani vs Libertad

Volume:
$287,779

Club Guarani

 - Kalshi

Club Guarani - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 7:25 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Club Guarani

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$111,119
N/A
N/A
$49,366
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Libertad

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$118,639
N/A
N/A
$75,551
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$58,020
N/A
N/A
$34,248
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Club Guarani and Libertad. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether Club Guarani wins, Libertad wins, or the game ends in a tie.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Club Guarani vs Libertad professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for August 2, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Club Guarani win, Libertad win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regular time, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market will resolve to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Guarani vs Libertad match-up market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price fluctuations, and 24-hour volume changes. It provides a snapshot of how traders are positioning themselves ahead of the match, showing the current top outcome and recent trading activity. This view updates continuously to reflect market sentiment and volume of $266,226 over the past day, helping users monitor dynamics in this market.

On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders on Kalshi may price in factors beyond standard betting metrics, such as deeper event analysis or sentiment trends. The current implied probability can therefore appear more or less favorable than typical sportsbook lines, depending on how the community evaluates the Guarani vs Libertad match-up market. This difference provides a unique perspective on betting value and market expectations.

This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the market settles accordingly based on that verified data. Timing aligns closely with the real-world game schedule, ensuring a clear and timely resolution for all participants.

Several key signals could shift this market before Aug 3, 2026. Major injuries to star players, changes in coaching strategies, or weather conditions affecting the match could all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, early match events such as lead changes or yellow/red cards often cause rapid adjustments in pricing. As the event approaches, any updated expert analyses or poll movements may also impact expectations. Traders on Kalshi will react to breaking news and real-time developments, so staying informed about team news and match conditions is crucial for anticipating moves in this market.