TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 7:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Club Guarani and Libertad. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether Club Guarani wins, Libertad wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Club Guarani vs Libertad professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for August 2, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Club Guarani win, Libertad win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regular time, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market will resolve to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders on Kalshi may price in factors beyond standard betting metrics, such as deeper event analysis or sentiment trends. The current implied probability can therefore appear more or less favorable than typical sportsbook lines, depending on how the community evaluates the Guarani vs Libertad match-up market. This difference provides a unique perspective on betting value and market expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the market settles accordingly based on that verified data. Timing aligns closely with the real-world game schedule, ensuring a clear and timely resolution for all participants.
Several key signals could shift this market before Aug 3, 2026. Major injuries to star players, changes in coaching strategies, or weather conditions affecting the match could all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, early match events such as lead changes or yellow/red cards often cause rapid adjustments in pricing. As the event approaches, any updated expert analyses or poll movements may also impact expectations. Traders on Kalshi will react to breaking news and real-time developments, so staying informed about team news and match conditions is crucial for anticipating moves in this market.