TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 5:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Club Ciudad de Bolivar and CA Central Norte Salta, scheduled for September 12, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning and for a draw, all determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming Primera Nacional game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between Club Ciudad de Bolivar and CA Central Norte Salta.
The event resolves based on the result of the Ciudad de Bolivar vs Central Norte professional Argentine Nacional B soccer game scheduled for September 12, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the associated team wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and does not include extra time or penalties. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The governing league’s official result will be the definitive reference for resolution.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Argentinian soccer match. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price fluctuations. Additionally, the specific market design—the types of outcomes offered and the associated fees—can influence pricing. These factors contribute to the observed differences in probabilities for the various outcomes, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.