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24H VOL:

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

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30,522

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

Kalshi:

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Club Ciudad de Bolivar vs. CA Central Norte Salta
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Club Ciudad de Bolivar vs. CA Central Norte Salta?

Volume:
$38,061

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 5:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,958
N/A
N/A
$6,686
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Club Ciudad de Bolivar vs. CA Central Norte Salta)

100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$536
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Club Ciudad de Bolivar

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,585
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ciudad de Bolivar

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,168
N/A
N/A
$6,377
Settled
No
kalshi

Central Norte

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,255
N/A
N/A
$2,129
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Central Norte Salta

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,559
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Club Ciudad de Bolivar and CA Central Norte Salta, scheduled for September 12, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning and for a draw, all determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms agree on the core resolution logic: determining the winner or draw within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with a clear fallback mechanism for data sourcing and handling of postponements/cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (afa.com.ar).

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the outcome of the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • If the match is canceled without a reschedule, win markets resolve to 'No' and draw markets resolve to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not affect the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the match's conclusion if fallback data sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera Nacional game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between Club Ciudad de Bolivar and CA Central Norte Salta.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Ciudad de Bolivar vs Central Norte professional Argentine Nacional B soccer game scheduled for September 12, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the associated team wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and does not include extra time or penalties. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The governing league’s official result will be the definitive reference for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and ensure profitability, while prediction markets reflect the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. This market, for example, may show a different probability of a Club Ciudad de Bolivar win compared to a sportsbook, potentially because prediction market participants have access to unique data or specialized knowledge. Furthermore, prediction markets benefit from continuous price discovery as new information emerges, leading to potentially more accurate forecasts.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Argentinian soccer match. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price fluctuations. Additionally, the specific market design—the types of outcomes offered and the associated fees—can influence pricing. These factors contribute to the observed differences in probabilities for the various outcomes, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.