TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid - More Markets
Volume:
$585,337
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a UEFA Champions League match between Club Brugge KV and Club Atlético de Madrid scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets span multiple outcome types: spread betting (Atlético -1.5), total goals (O/U 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), both teams to score, and win-margin thresholds for both teams.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers a single Atlético -1.5 spread market, while Kalshi provides four separate win-margin markets (Brugge +2.5, Brugge +1.5, Atlético +2.5, Atlético +1.5). This creates asymmetric market coverage and different resolution structures across platforms.Hero Tip:
Do not assume 1:1 parity between Polymarket's spread and Kalshi's win-margin markets. Polymarket's -1.5 spread is a binary outcome (Atlético by 2+ or not), whereas Kalshi's markets are four independent Yes/No events. When cross-platform trading, match only equivalent thresholds and account for missing market pairs.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Single spread market: Atlético -1.5. Resolves Yes if Atlético wins by 2+ goals, No otherwise. Covers only one win-margin threshold. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Club Atlético de Madrid if Club Atlético de Madrid win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Club Brugge KV.'
- Kalshi: Four separate win-margin markets: Brugge +2.5, Brugge +1.5, Atlético +2.5, Atlético +1.5. Each resolves independently as Yes if the specified team wins by the stated margin. Key Quote: 'If Club Brugge wins by more than 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Atletico wins by more than 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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