This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the Champions League match between Club Brugge KV and Club Atlético de Madrid scheduled for February 18, 2026. Markets track whether Club Brugge wins, Atlético wins, or the match ends in a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Kalshi treats a canceled match with no makeup as resolving all three markets to Yes, while Polymarket resolves win markets to No and the draw market to Yes.
Hero Tip:
Monitor UEFA.com and official team channels for any cancellation announcements. If cancellation occurs, Kalshi traders holding draw positions and Polymarket traders holding win positions will profit, creating a potential arbitrage opportunity. Hedge accordingly if you hold positions across both platforms.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Resolves Brugge win to Yes only if Brugge scores more goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise No. Resolves Atlético win to Yes only if Atlético scores more goals; otherwise No. Resolves draw to Yes if scores are equal after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; if canceled with no makeup, draw resolves to Yes but win markets resolve to No. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (for wins) and 'this market will resolve Yes' (for draw).
Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if Club Brugge wins, Tie occurs, or Atletico wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market structure treats all three outcomes as equally valid Yes resolutions. Implicitly, if the match is canceled, all three markets would resolve Yes since cancellation prevents any outcome from occurring. Key quote: 'If Club Brugge wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Atletico wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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