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Club Bolívar vs. São Paulo FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Club Bolívar vs São Paulo FC?

Volume:
$919,771

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 11:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$118,123
N/A
N/A
$68,683
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Club Bolívar vs. São Paulo FC)

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20,675
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sao Paulo

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$264,459
N/A
N/A
$147,649
Settled
No
polymarket

São Paulo FC

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66,857
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Bolívar

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$228,155
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bolivar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$221,502
N/A
N/A
$152,514
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether the August 11, 2026, soccer match between Club Bolívar and São Paulo FC in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana tournament will end in a draw. The aggregated consensus probability for a draw stands at 100.0%, based on data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution sourced from the official CONMEBOL Sudamericana website. The final outcome will be determined by the match result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Watch the match on August 11, 2026, for the resolution of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Divergence exists in how a draw outcome resolves the markets, particularly on Kalshi where a single market resolves to Yes regardless of win/draw outcomes.Hero tip: Traders should carefully evaluate each market individually due to Kalshi's unique 'Any Outcome' market structure. Focus on official match results from recognized governing bodies to avoid missettlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets for win/draw/loss outcomes. A draw only resolves the 'draw' market to Yes, while win/loss markets resolve to No. Cancellations resolve to No for win markets and Yes for draw market.
  • Kalshi: Single market that resolves to Yes if either team wins or the match ends in a draw. This creates a fundamental logic difference compared to Polymarket's separate markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for Tuesday, August 11, 2026 between Club Bolívar and São Paulo FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Bolivar vs Sao Paulo professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game scheduled for August 11, 2026. If Bolivar wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties), the "Bolivar" market resolves to Yes. If Sao Paulo wins under the same conditions, the "Sao Paulo" market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regulation time, the "Tie" market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price according to the rules. The markets exclusively consider the result after regular time, with no account for extra time, penalty shootouts, or postponement outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Bolívar vs. São Paulo FC match market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing real-time consensus and divergence across platforms. It tracks the collective view of traders on Polymarket and Kalshi regarding match outcomes, reflecting the latest probabilities and volume of $919,771. This centralized view helps users monitor how prediction markets price this event compared to traditional sportsbooks.