TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Bolívar vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC
Volume:
$345,288
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Club Bolívar will face Deportivo La Guaira FC in a CONMEBOL Libertadores match scheduled for April 14, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This is a standard group-stage fixture in South America's premier club competition.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match result (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties) from CONMEBOL Libertadores governing body sources, with identical outcome logic for all three possible results: Club Bolívar win, Deportivo La Guaira FC win, or draw.
Primary resolution logic:
Official CONMEBOL Libertadores statistics and governing body match records (conmebollibertadores.com); if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible consensus reporting.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
- Club Bolívar win: Polymarket 'Club Bolívar win' market resolves YES; Kalshi 'Bolivar wins' market resolves YES.
- Deportivo La Guaira FC win: Polymarket 'La Guaira win' market resolves YES; Kalshi 'La Guaira wins' market resolves YES.
- Draw: Polymarket 'draw' market resolves YES; Kalshi 'Tie wins' market resolves YES.
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until completion.
- If match is canceled with no make-up game: Polymarket draw market resolves YES, win markets resolve NO; Kalshi markets do not explicitly address cancellation but follow standard no-play convention (no resolution or void).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open until the match is completed. Resolution is delayed but logic remains unchanged.
- Match Cancellation Without Make-Up: Polymarket explicitly states that if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the draw market resolves YES and both win markets resolve NO. Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario; standard practice would treat it as void or no-resolution.
- Resolution Source Fallback: Both platforms use official CONMEBOL Libertadores statistics as primary source. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, both platforms permit resolution via credible consensus reporting.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official CONMEBOL Libertadores publication of final match statistics, or within 2 hours post-match via credible consensus reporting if official sources are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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