TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Club Bolívar vs. Club Guabirá
polymarket
kalshi

Club Bolívar vs. Club Guabirá

Volume:
$427

Club Bolívar

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 18, 2026

Closed: May 24, 5:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Club Bolívar

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$290
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bolivar

View
57%
Yes 57¢No 43¢
100¢
N/A
$0
N/A
N/A
$0
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
23%
Yes 23¢No 77¢
100¢
N/A
$0
N/A
N/A
$0
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Club Bolívar vs. Club Guabirá)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Guabirá

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$97
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Guabira

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional soccer match between Club Bolívar and Club Guabirá in the Bolivia Premier Division. However, the two platforms list conflicting scheduled dates (May 24, 2026 on Polymarket vs. June 15, 2026 on Kalshi), creating ambiguity about whether they refer to the same fixture or different matches.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scheduled date mismatch (May 24 vs. June 15, 2026) creates fundamental uncertainty about event identity. Additionally, Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation and fallback resolution logic, while Polymarket provides detailed contingency rules.Hero tip: Do not trade these markets until the official fixture date is confirmed. Contact both platforms to clarify whether this is a single rescheduled match or two separate games. If a single match, demand date alignment before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three binary markets (Bolívar win, draw, Guabirá win) scheduled for May 24, 2026. Resolution source: official LFPB.com.bo statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus. Cancellation with no make-up: draw resolves Yes, win markets resolve No. Postponement: markets remain open until completion.
  • Kalshi: Three outcome markets (Guabirá win, Bolívar win, tie) scheduled for June 15, 2026. All three outcomes resolve to Yes if they occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause, fallback source, or postponement logic provided. Key quote: 'originally scheduled for Jun 15, 2026'—implies potential rescheduling but offers no contingency rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game, scheduled for Sunday, May 24, 2026 between Club Bolívar and Club Guabirá.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the final result of the Bolivar vs Guabira professional Bolivia Premier Division soccer match originally scheduled for June 15, 2026. Resolution is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Bolivar wins, Guabira wins, or the match ends in a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures rather than to a definitive outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate differently from traditional sportsbooks. Rather than a bookmaker setting odds, traders themselves determine prices through supply and demand, often reflecting real-time information and sentiment. This can lead to sharper, more dynamic pricing than static sportsbook lines, especially as new developments emerge. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads and faster liquidity in some cases. Comparing this market's odds across both platforms and against major sportsbooks can reveal where the smartest money is flowing.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and risk appetites, which naturally creates price variation. Polymarket may see heavier volume from certain regions or trading styles, while Kalshi's user base might weight recent news differently. Timing lags in order flow, varying fee structures, and platform-specific incentives can also widen spreads. These gaps typically narrow closer to resolution, but savvy traders monitor both venues to identify arbitrage opportunities or to gauge which platform's crowd is more informed.

Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings can shift trader sentiment as match day nears. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any late-breaking developments in either squad's preparation may trigger repricing. Social media momentum, expert commentary, and sharp money flowing into one side can also accelerate price movement. Close monitoring of official team announcements and sports media will help you anticipate swings in this market's odds.