TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 2:39 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game between Club Aurora and Club ABB, scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Club Aurora" if Club Aurora score more goals than Club ABB in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Club Aurora and Club ABB score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club ABB" if Club ABB score more goals than Club Aurora in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game between Club Aurora and Club ABB, scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Club Aurora" if Club Aurora score more goals than Club ABB in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Club Aurora and Club ABB score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club ABB" if Club ABB score more goals than Club Aurora in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by traders seeking profit through accurate forecasting. This market aggregates the beliefs of many independent participants rather than a single bookmaker's view. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where bettors and traders disagree, potentially highlighting value or consensus blind spots. Both venues price the same underlying event, but their mechanisms and risk profiles differ meaningfully.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism, where buy and sell orders determine the odds in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome share reflects the probability that traders collectively assign to it. As new information surfaces—team news, injury reports, or live-game developments—traders adjust their positions, moving the market price accordingly. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new signals, so markets with deeper order books typically show smoother price discovery than thinner ones.
This market resolves around Jun 12, 2026, once the second half of the Club Aurora vs. Club ABB match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score or result reported by the relevant sports authority or league. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, pending confirmation from reliable reporting channels.
Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—can shift trader expectations significantly before kickoff and during halftime. Live-game performance in the first half often influences second-half predictions, as momentum, fatigue, and adjusted strategies become apparent. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and unexpected substitutions may also trigger repricing. Social media sentiment, expert commentary, and betting syndicate activity can amplify or dampen price movements. Close to resolution, late-breaking developments or confirmation of key player availability typically generate the most volatile trading activity in this market.