TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Club Aurora vs. CD Oriente Petrolero
kalshi
polymarket

Club Aurora vs. CD Oriente Petrolero

Volume:
$667

Draw (Club Aurora vs. CD Oriente Petrolero)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 19, 2026

Closed: May 24, 7:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Club Aurora vs. CD Oriente Petrolero)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$391
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Aurora

View
58%
Yes 58¢No 42¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Aurora

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Oriente Petrolero

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Oriente

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional soccer match between Club Aurora and CD Oriente Petrolero in the Bolivia Premier Division. The match has conflicting scheduled dates across platforms (May 24, 2026 on Polymarket vs. June 14, 2026 on Kalshi) and different market structures (three binary outcome markets on Polymarket vs. one catch-all market on Kalshi).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Date mismatch (May 24 vs June 14, 2026) combined with fundamentally different market structures and asymmetric cancellation logic across platforms creates unresolvable ambiguity. Polymarket's Draw market resolves Yes on cancellation while Win markets resolve No, creating logical inconsistency. Kalshi's catch-all structure cannot fail but contradicts Polymarket's binary outcomes.Hero tip: Do not place trades on either platform until the official match date is confirmed via LFPB.com.bo. The 21-day discrepancy suggests data entry error or fixture rescheduling. Polymarket's asymmetric cancellation rules (Draw=Yes, Wins=No) mean a canceled match produces conflicting resolutions across its own three markets. Kalshi's single catch-all market is unresolvable as written because it claims all three mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to Yes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets for May 24, 2026. Aurora Win and Oriente Win resolve No on cancellation; Draw resolves Yes on cancellation. Uses official LFPB statistics as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (Aurora/Oriente) vs. 'this market will resolve "Yes"' (Draw).
  • Kalshi: Single catch-all market for June 14, 2026, claiming all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Tie, Aurora win, Oriente win) resolve to Yes. No cancellation logic specified. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Aurora wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Oriente wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game, scheduled for Sunday, May 24, 2026 between Club Aurora and CD Oriente Petrolero.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final score of the Aurora vs Oriente Bolivia Premier Division match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each outcome (Aurora win, Oriente win, or tie) resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regulation and stoppage time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original June 14, 2026 date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established rules.

Frequently asked questions

The Club Aurora vs. CD Oriente Petrolero dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading prediction market platforms. It displays the current consensus probability for Club Aurora's victory, tracks cumulative trading volume across both venues, and shows how odds have shifted over time. This cross-platform view lets you compare how different markets price the same match outcome, identify pricing discrepancies, and monitor aggregate liquidity. The dashboard updates continuously as traders place new positions, giving you a unified snapshot of market sentiment leading up to the match.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate independently from traditional sportsbooks, often reflecting different participant bases and risk tolerances. Prediction market odds for Club Aurora vs. CD Oriente Petrolero are set by peer-to-peer trading rather than oddsmakers, which can lead to sharper or slower price discovery depending on market depth and information flow. Sportsbooks typically build in margins and adjust odds to balance liability, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money disagrees with bookmaker consensus, though prediction market odds should not be treated as direct replacements for sportsbook lines.

Key catalysts for Club Aurora vs. CD Oriente Petrolero odds include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup changes, or managerial decisions announced before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings can shift market sentiment as new results emerge. Weather conditions, venue factors, and travel logistics may also influence trader positioning. Social media sentiment, expert predictions, and betting syndicates entering the market can trigger sharp price moves. Any official statements from either club, regulatory issues, or unexpected roster changes in the days leading up to the match could cause significant repricing across Polymarket and Kalshi.