TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol
polymarket
kalshi

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol

Volume:
$3,313,267

Club Atlético de Madrid

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 12:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Club Atlético de Madrid

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,227,728
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atletico

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$509,813
N/A
N/A
$447,400
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Real Sociedad

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$224,215
N/A
N/A
$186,527
Settled
No
polymarket

Real Sociedad de Fútbol

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$169,713
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$141,544
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,254
N/A
N/A
$35,141
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a La Liga soccer match between Club Atlético de Madrid and Real Sociedad de Fútbol scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the three possible outcomes: Atlético win, Real Sociedad win, or draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market explicitly resolves to Yes on full cancellation, while Kalshi provides no cancellation guidance across its three outcome markets. This creates potential for misaligned settlement if the match is canceled with no make-up date.Hero tip: Obtain written confirmation from both platforms on their cancellation protocol before March 7, 2026. Specifically: (1) Does Kalshi void all three markets or resolve them to No? (2) Does Polymarket's draw-resolves-to-Yes rule apply even if Kalshi treats cancellation differently? (3) Will both platforms issue refunds or honor the divergent rules as written?

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Atlético win, Real Sociedad win, draw). Draw market explicitly states: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes".' Atlético and Real Sociedad win markets resolve to No on cancellation. Resolution source: official La Liga statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
  • Kalshi: Three outcome markets presented as a complete set (Atlético win, Real Sociedad win, Tie). Each resolves to Yes if its outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Logical implication: cancellation protocol is undefined, creating settlement ambiguity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.