TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Volume:
$8,832,771
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the La Liga match between Club Atlético de Madrid and RCD Espanyol de Barcelona scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Madrid win, Espanyol win, draw) and Kalshi (three separate yes/no markets covering all possible outcomes). Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation resolution logic differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to YES if the game is canceled with no makeup, while both team-win markets resolve NO. Kalshi does not explicitly address the cancellation scenario, creating settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Traders should assume Polymarket's draw market is the safest hedge against cancellation risk. On Kalshi, contact support to confirm cancellation handling before the event date. Monitor La Liga official communications for any postponement notices.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Madrid win YES/NO, Espanyol win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO). Cancellation with no makeup explicitly resolves Madrid and Espanyol markets to NO, but Draw market to YES. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (Draw only).
- Kalshi: Three separate YES/NO markets covering all outcomes (Tie, Atletico, Espanyol). Cancellation scenario is not explicitly defined in the provided descriptions. All three markets state resolution occurs if the outcome happens after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, but no fallback rule for cancellation is stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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