TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona
Volume:
$14,017,969
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional Champions League soccer match between Club Atlético de Madrid and FC Barcelona originally scheduled for April 14, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with three possible outcomes: Atletico win, Barcelona win, or a tie.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market rules contain a logical contradiction: all three outcomes (Atletico win, Barcelona win, Tie) resolve to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket offers three separate, mutually exclusive markets with coherent resolution logic that aligns with standard sports betting conventions.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market as written—it violates basic logical consistency (all outcomes cannot resolve YES simultaneously). Polymarket's three separate markets (Atletico win, Barcelona win, Draw) are the only resolvable option and should be your reference for this matchup.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical flaw. The market states 'If Atletico wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Barcelona wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' Since exactly one of these three outcomes must occur, the market will always resolve YES regardless of the actual result, rendering it unresolvable and unsuitable for trading.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Offers three separate, mutually exclusive markets—one for Atletico win, one for Barcelona win, and one for Draw. Each market resolves YES or NO based on the specific outcome, with clear tie-breaking (cancellation resolves Draw market to YES, but Atletico and Barcelona win markets to NO). All three markets reference UEFA as the primary resolution source and specify 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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