TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona
Volume:
$10,260,830
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Club Atlético de Madrid and FC Barcelona will compete in a La Liga match scheduled for April 4, 2026. This event group captures three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Madrid victory, a Barcelona victory, or a draw. All markets measure the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 4, 2026, using La Liga official statistics as the primary source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official La Liga statistics and the governing body or event organizers' final match records.Core resolution logic:
- Exactly one of three mutually exclusive outcomes will occur: Atlético Madrid wins, Barcelona wins, or the match ends in a draw.
- Each outcome corresponds to exactly one market resolving YES across the platform group (Atlético win market, Barcelona win market, or draw market).
- Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, the draw market resolves YES and both win markets resolve NO (Polymarket) or all three markets resolve YES (Kalshi outcome coverage).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match concludes.
- Match Cancellation Without Make-Up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES and both win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's structure covers all three outcomes as YES (since one of the three must occur or the market resolves on cancellation terms).
- Source Fallback: If official La Liga statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by La Liga or the governing body, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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