TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV
Volume:
$9,922,157
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Club Atlético de Madrid will face Club Brugge KV in a UEFA Champions League match on February 24, 2026. The prediction markets assess three core outcomes: whether Madrid wins, Brugge wins, or the match ends in a draw, plus additional markets on margin-of-victory thresholds. All markets reference only the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket settles on three mutually exclusive binary outcomes (Atlético win, Brugge win, or draw) covering all possible match results, while Kalshi settles on four independent margin-of-victory thresholds that can overlap and do not cover all possible outcomes.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES and the other two NO, providing complete coverage of the match result. On Kalshi, multiple markets can resolve YES simultaneously (e.g., if Atlético wins 3-0, both the >1.5 and >2.5 goal margins resolve YES), and certain outcomes like a 1-0 Atlético win or any Brugge win by 1 or 2 goals will resolve NO on all four Kalshi markets. Do not assume Kalshi markets are exhaustive.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets covering all possible outcomes—Atlético win, Brugge win, or draw—each resolving YES or NO based on the final 90-minute result. Key quote: 'If Club Atlético de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers four independent margin-of-victory markets (Atlético >2.5 goals, Atlético >1.5 goals, Brugge >2.5 goals, Brugge >1.5 goals) that can resolve YES or NO independently and may overlap or leave gaps in coverage. Key quote: 'If Atletico wins by more than 2.5 goals...then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Club Brugge wins by more than 1.5 goals...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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