TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 3:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the Over/Under 1.5 goals scored in the Club Atlético de Madrid versus CA Osasuna La Liga match. Currently, the consensus probability that Over 1.5 goals will be scored is 99.0%, as aggregated from Polymarket and Predict. Resolution will be based on official statistics from laliga.com. A secondary outcome, Over/Under 4.5 goals, currently has a 1.0% probability. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for resolution on September 16, 2026, to see if the final score exceeds the 1.5 goal threshold.
More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for September 16 at 1:00 PM ET.
More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for September 16 at 1:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict for this market, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective forecasts of participants who have 'skin in the game.' This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially when a large volume of trading occurs. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, particularly if they differ significantly from the current prices on this market. Comparing both provides a more comprehensive view.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Different platforms attract different types of traders, leading to variations in price discovery. Polymarket may have a user base with stronger expertise in Spanish football, while Predict might have a broader demographic. Additionally, the specific market structures offered on each platform – for instance, the types of bets available – can influence prices. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to more efficient price discovery. These factors can all contribute to discrepancies in the odds for the Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna match between the two platforms.